Publications

Windfalls and Pitfalls: How Foreign Labor Strengthens Economic Resilience in GCC During Energy Transition

Dramane Coulibaly, Fatih Karanfil, Luc Desire Omgba

Governments in oil-dependent countries, particularly those in the Gulf, have launched broad and ambitious national plans to diversify their economies. While diversification reduces vulnerability to oil shocks, the expansion of renewables and the deregulation of domestic energy prices decrease domestic…

Dramane Coulibaly

Karanfil, Fatih

Luc Desire Omgba

The Potential Role of Seasonal Pumped Hydropower Storage in Decarbonizing the Power Sector in Saudi Arabia

Science Direct

Naser Odeh

A Review Approach to Understanding the Current Status of Port Resilience: Lessons Learned for GCC Ports

Springer Link

Ahm Mehbub Anwar, Nora Nezamuddin

Assessing Impacts of Global Economic Dynamics on the Saudi Economy and Oil Production: A GVAR Analysis

Commodity Insights Digest

Jennifer Considine, Philipp Galkin, Mehmet Ali Soytas, Abdullah Aldayel

KAPSARC Oil Market Outlook (KOMO)

This is the KAPSARC Oil Market Outlook quarterly report that focuses on oil markets supply, demand and balances.

A Maritime Sector in Transition – The Role of Saudi Arabia

Nora Nezamuddin, Shahid Hasan, Rolando Fuentes, Michael Samsu Koroma

The maritime sector currently accounts for approximately 2.3% of global CO₂ emissions, with forecasts suggesting that this figure could rise to 10%-13% by 2050 (IMO 2023). This significant increase emphasizes the pressing need for decarbonization to mitigate environmental risks. This…

Nezamuddin, Nora

Hasan, Shahid

Fuentes, Rolando

Koroma, Michael Samsu

Does the Income Elasticity of Energy Demand Vary with the Stages of Economic Development?

Nader AlKathiri, Abdulelah Darandary, Jeyhun Mikayilov

This paper revisits the empirical evidence on the income elasticity of energy demand by investigating whether it varies with the level of economic development. Our analysis, based on a sample of 111 countries spanning three decades, reveals that the elasticity…

AlKathiri, Nader

Darandary, Abdulelah

Mikayilov, Jeyhun

Roadmap for Carbon Capture, Utilization, and Storage (CCUS) in Saudi Arabia Insights From Stakeholder Engagement and Expert Survey

AlJawhara Al Quayid, Fateh Belaïd, Naser Odeh, Noura Mansouri

This paper presents the findings of a survey conducted by KAPSARC, focusing on the role of Carbon Capture and Storage (CCS) technology within the framework of Circular Carbon Economy (CCE). The survey, part of the CCE Roadmaps project, aimed to…

Al Quayid, AlJawhara

Belaïd, Fateh

Naser Odeh

Mansouri, Noura

Decarbonizing Land-Based Passenger Transport in Saudi Arabia

Yagyavalk Bhatt, Puneet Kamboj, Anvita Arora, Mohamad Hejazi

The Saudi government has outlined its decarbonization strategy through various statements and reports, identifying key initiatives, preferred technologies, and investment targets to drive this transformation. In this study, we employ Integrated Assessment Modeling (IAM) to evaluate the long-term impacts of…

Bhatt, Yagyavalk

Puneet Kamboj

Arora, Anvita

Hejazi, Mohamad

Climate-Resilient Cities: Priorities for the Gulf Cooperation Council Countries

Anvita Arora, Fateh Belaïd

This edited volume discusses the concept of resilient cities within the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) region. Written by an international panel of scholars and experts, the book presents theoretical approaches, identifies risk factors, and suggests policies for building resiliency in…

Arora, Anvita

Belaïd, Fateh

Sectoral Clustering and Climate-Tech Startup Financing Through Venture Capital and Private Equity

Akin Cilekoglu

In this study, I investigate climate-tech startup financing of venture capital (VC) and private equity (PE) investments across different sectors around the world for the 2022-2024 period. Cross-sectional analysis suggests that start-ups in sectors with higher dynamism (proxied by deal…

Cilekoglu, Akin

Technoeconomic Assessment and Carbon Dioxide Removal Potential for the Global Pulp and Paper Industry

Muhammad Adnan Hayat, Amro Elshurafa

The pulp and paper industry is the fourth largest industrial energy user globally and presents significant carbon removal potential as a large portion of emissions from this industry are biogenic. The decarbonization potential of this industry has been discussed in…

Adnan Hayat, Muhammad

Elshurafa, Amro

The Race to Decarbonize Long-Haul Transport and the Lessons Learned for KSA

In May 2023, the King Abdullah Petroleum Studies and Research Center (KAPSARC) organized a workshop titled “The race to decarbonize long-haul transport and the lessons learned for KSA” with the support of the University of Antwerp. The workshop aimed to…

Anticipating Trend Shifts in Oil Prices Using the Crude Oil Storage Index

Philipp Galkin, Jennifer Considine

We analyze oil price dynamics in the long-, medium and short-term by using the world crude storage index (COSI), a global index reflecting spread options values from crude oil at major ports around the world for all of the major…

Galkin, Philipp

Considine, Jennifer

No Magic Bullet The Challenge of Security Interventions in Phantom Oil Flows

Majed A. Al Suwailem, David Soud

The discovery and exploitation of oil and gas significantly transformed the global economy and social welfare landscape. Oil, in particular, became the lifeblood of industrialization, fueling the growth of numerous sectors, including transportation, manufacturing, and electricity generation. The economic boom…

Al Suwailem, Majed A.

David Soud

The Determinants of Successful Energy Subsidy Reforms: A Logistic Regression Analysis

Anwar Gasim, Paolo Agnolucci, Paul Ekins, Lama Yaseen

Many factors influence whether an energy subsidy reform is successful. We define success as a reform that does not lead to social unrest and is not reversed. To better understand these factors, we apply logistic regression analysis to an original…

Gasim, Anwar

Paolo Agnolucci

Paul Ekins

Yaseen, Lama

Harnessing Heat from the Refinery and Petrochemical Sectors for Future Commercial-Scale DAC Systems in Saudi Arabia

Naser Odeh, Raphael Apeaninga, Feras Rowaihy

As the global community commits to achieving net-zero carbon emissions, innovative strategies such as Direct Air Capture (DAC) are gaining prominence. DAC, a key carbon dioxide removal (CDR) technology, is energy intensive and requires large amounts of heat and electricity.…

Naser Odeh

Apeaninga, Raphael

Feras Rowaihy

Navigating the Trade and Climate Change Nexus

Joachim Monkelbaan

As global efforts to tackle climate change intensify, the intersection of trade and climate policy is increasingly critical. Trade can drive access to clean energy technologies and promote sustainable practices but also risks amplifying emissions through carbon-intensive industries and uncoordinated…

Monkelbaan, Joachim

Impact of Urban Traffic on Fuel Consumption Leveraging IoT Data: Case Study of Riyadh City

Lama Yaseen, Nourah Al Hosain, Ibrahem Shatnawi, Abdelrahman Muhsen

This study explores the rising trend of traffic congestion in Riyadh and its impact on fuel consumption for passenger cars amid the challenges of rapid urbanization and increasing vehicle use. By utilizing real-time floating car data (FCD) collected by vehicles…

Yaseen, Lama

Al Hosain, Nourah

Shatnawi, Ibrahem

Muhsen, Abdelrahman

The Economics of Offshore Wind-Based Hydrogen Production in Saudi Arabia

Ahmed Al-Balawi, Shahid Hasan, Amro Elshurafa

Offshore hydrogen production from offshore wind energy is gaining global attention as an appealing solution for scaling up green hydrogen production. The technoeconomic feasibility of integrating offshore wind into hydrogen production has been explored in various regions, but no comprehensive…

Ahmed Al-Balawi

Hasan, Shahid

Elshurafa, Amro